by Dave Thomas

Malkovich in Color Me Kubrick
Finally, a month worth looking foward to. At least the first half.
March 2
WILD HOGS
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Middle-Aged Rider
WILL IT SUCK?
This actually looks pretty good. Director did the underrated (or so I'm told) Van Wilder and the writer's done his fare share of Arrested Development. Travolta, Lawrence, Allen and Macy look like they'll work surprisingly well together. Keep an eye out for cameos by Kyle Gass and Drew Pinsky.
Early buzz, however, is not good.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Will pretty much own the comedy spotlight and pool the admittedly diminished followings of its leads. $75mil.
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ZODIAC
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
The story of the Zodiac Killer, as told by David Fincher.
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is gooood and why not? Well, because sometimes David Fincher makes The Game or Panic Room or Alien 3 which, while not sucking (okay, maybe Alien 3 sucked) aren't Fight Club or Se7en.
Cast looks awesome, too, with Jake Gyllenhaal, Mark Ruffalo, Anthony Edwards, Robert Downey Jr., Brian Cox, Chloe Sevigny, Elias Koteas, Dermot Mulroney, Donal Logue, Philip Baker Hall, John Mahoney, Adam Goldberg and James LeGros.
The writer did the surprisingly good The Rundown and the unsurprisingly bad Basic and Darkness Falls.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
The only problem is that this film is out for one week before 300 obliterates everything in its path. $43mil.
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BLACK SNAKE MOAN
(Moved from February)
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Sam Jackson chains up Christina Ricci in his shack. Yeah, I know what you're thinking. About fucking time.
WILL IT SUCK?
It's kind of hard to tell just how seriously writer/director Craig Brewer (Hustle & Flow) wants us to take his latest opus. There's the over-the-top grindhouse style posters, the tounge-in-cheek trailer, oh, and it's about a guy who chains up a woman to cure her of her nymphomania/drug addiction (and, to play the race card, a black man chaining up a white woman in...wait for it...the deep South).
That having been said, the early buzz is good, with critics suggesting that if you can get past the premise, it's quite entertaining (which, arguably, could be said of Hustle & Flow).
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Not exactly a date movie. $23mil.
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FULL OF IT
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Every lie the new kid in school tells becomes true.
WILL IT SUCK?
From the writers behind Rebound. Yes, it took more than one person to write that. Very preliminary buzz is actually good.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
If New Line lies about the grosses, will that come true? $14mil.
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TWO WEEKS
(Moved from December)
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Four siblings get stuck together when they arrive to say goodbye to their ailing mother. Guess for how long.
WILL IT SUCK?
Sally Field plays the dying mom. Tom Cavanaugh is one of ths siblings. Early buzz is mixed, with audiences liking it way more than critics.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
My guess is, people will stay home and get their Sally Field fix on Brothers & Sisters. $1mil.
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WILD TIGERS I HAVE KNOWN
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Artsy coming-of-age story.
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is mixed with critics more in favor than lukewarm audiences.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Will be overshadowed by The Namesake the following week. $500,000.
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March 9
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300
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
300 vs. 1,000,000.
WILL IT SUCK?
300 isn't even out yet, and it's already on the IMDB Top 250.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
No other film is opening wide this week. How often does that happen in March? $115mil.
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THE NAMESAKE
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
The story of one Indian family's heritage, father to son.
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is good. Here's your chance to see if Kal Penn can break out of Kumar/Taj comic relief prison. From Monsoon Wedding helmer Mira Nair.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
The Wind That Shakes the Barley might be a little bit of an issue the following week, but not by much. $7mil.
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(The trailer is fantastic)
THE HOST
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Family struggles to save its members from a sea creature attacking Seoul.
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is fantastic. I haven't been this psyched for a horror film since The Descent.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Two problems. One, the film needs more awareness, and Magnolia isn't known for producing that (except with Jesus Camp). Two, even if there were greater awareness, most of this film's audience is out at 300 this week. $4mil.
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NOMAD
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
A Kazakh story that does not involve a fat man's genitals on Borat's mouth.
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is mixed, but generally positive. Still, you have to wonder, how did Jay Hernandez end up in here? Also keep an eye out for CSI regular Archie Kao as well as Jason Scott Lee and Mark Dacascos. Kazakhstan's entry for Best Foreign Oscar, and got a Golden Globe nod for Best Score (no, I don't remember that either).
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Needs more buzz. $500,000.
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EXTERMINATING ANGELS
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Guy decides to make a movie about female pleasure. Mature themes ensue.
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is good, and the phrases "authentically arousing" and "erection-inducing" have come up in reviews.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
If audiences watch the international trailer, quite well I imagine. $2mil.
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BEYOND THE GATES
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Another True Rwandan Story. This one focuses on a white priest and schoolteacher who have to decide whether to bail or stick around when their refugee friends start getting slaughtered.
WILL IT SUCK?
Other than getting some flack for telling a black story from a white perspective, the movie's garnering some good buzz. Sort of like a harsher Hotel Rwanda.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Needs a bigger push, and a less crowded weekend. $750,000.
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THE ULTIMATE GIFT
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Guy gets an inheritance but has to do a bunch of stupid tasks to get it. Stupid dead grandfather.
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is mixed, with critics liking it less than audiences, but the same can be said for the director's last film, One Night With the King. Abigail Breslin's up in here, which may explain the timing of the release.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Don't think this will quite hit the level of One Night. $2mil.
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MAXED OUT
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Doc on credit card debt.
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is good, and certainly a ripe topic.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Again, crowded weekend, not much press, and the aforementioned Magnolia problem. $500,000.
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March 16
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SHOOTER
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
If you're a sniper, and someone asks you to use your sniping skills to protect the President, you're being set up. And not for nothing, but if you tell somebody something and their response is "Have you told anyone else?" say "Yes. I told my friends, my book club, I posted it on my blog and I just finished telling my mom."
WILL IT SUCK?
From Training Day (and nothing else good) director Antoine Fuqua and based on a novel by film critic Stephen Hunter (why didn't he write the screenplay?). Screenplay from the guy who wrote Lethal Weapon 4 (not terrible, but most of that was Jet Li) and Red Planet (for which there is no excuse).
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Caught between the considerable b.o. appeal of Mark Wahlberg and the complete overcrowding of this and next weekend. $47mil.
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PREMONITION
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Sandra Bullock wakes up one morning and her husband's died in a terrible accident. She wakes up the next and he's still alive. And back and forth. Make up your mind, lady!
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is decidely mixed. Writer did Blast From the Past, which is such a non-sequitor credit that I'm just going to throw it out.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
I'm thinking not even Lake House numbers here. $33mil.
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DEAD SILENCE
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Killer ventriloquist dummies.
WILL IT SUCK?
I don't know man. Those are some pretty creepy fuckin' puppets. From the writing/directing team behind the Saw flicks.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
How many people can get drunk before they decide what movie to go see? $17mil.
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I THINK I LOVE MY WIFE
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Remake of will-he-or-won't-he infidelity flick Chloe in the Afternoon with Chris Rock as the potentially philanderous hubby.
WILL IT SUCK?
Given that Chris Rock is on the short list for World's Funniest Human, you'd think his writing/directing credits on a film would be a guarantee, but unfortunately that just gives you Head of State. Nice to see Gina Torres get more work, though.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Not much else in the way of comedy this month. $38mil.
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THE WIND THAT SHAKES THE BARLEY
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Black and Tan vs. guerrilla Irish in 1920.
WILL IT SUCK?
If you ever want to see narration just kill a trailer, watch this. That having been said, won the Palm D'Or at Cannes and if you love Cillian Murphy and/or Ken Loach, this is probably a must-see.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Have you even heard of Ken Loach? I'm going to guess less than half of you are raising your hands. $1mil.
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March 23
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REIGN OVER ME
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
It's Adam Sandler! And he's being serious!
WILL IT SUCK?
This comes from writer/director Mike Binder who created the surprisingly good Upside of Anger in '05. What's interesting is that the grief Sandler's character is dealing with (with some help from old buddy Don Cheadle) is from losing his family on 9/11. Strangely, there's no mention of this in the trailer. Can't tell if that's admirable or confuzzling.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Probably not any worse than Spanglish. $43mil.
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TMNT
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Reboot of the popular - well, for one film at least - franchise about turtles who kick ass.
WILL IT SUCK?
Nice voice cast. Kevin Smith, Ziyi Zhang, Patrick Stewart. Sadly, doesn't look like they got Vanilla Ice or Corey Feldman to reprise their roles from II and III respectively. The cartoon was nice and the comic was the harshness so if they can tap into that, good on 'em.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
As far as CG goes, Meet the Robinsons will be an issue the following week, but that doesn't have any fanboy following. $79mil.
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THE HILLS HAVE EYES 2
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
The National Guard vs. mutants.
WILL IT SUCK?
First of all, there was already a Hills Have Eyes 2, but that was bikers vs. mutants. Wes Craven writes here with his son, and newcomer Martin Weisz, already a hotshot for directing a cannibal film that got banned in Germany, directs.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Sort of obliquely dealing with The Last Mimzy this week and definitely up against Skinwalkers the next, but ultimately in a class by itself. $42mil.
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PRIDE
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Black Men Can Swim
WILL IT SUCK?
First off, read what may turn out to be my favorite MPAA story of the year. Of the four screenwriters, the only one with a deep resume looks like he did Beauty Shop and Roll Bounce. That having been said, early buzz is good.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Crowded weekend doesn't help. $19mil.
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THE LAST MIMZY
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Toys from the future give kids strange new powers.
WILL IT SUCK?
Quite an involved background here. Based on a Lewis Padgett (actually Henry Kuttner and C.L. Moore) short story, "Mimsy Were the Borogoves" (title inspired by Lewis Carroll's "Jabberwocky") and adapted by four screenwriters with everything from Jacob's Ladder to Deadly Friend to their credit (actually, that's just one guy) and directed by new Peter Jackson nemesis Bob Shaye. What was the question? Early buzz is mixed.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
TMNT will crush this family-wise, and anyone looking for its scarier genre attributes will be more attracted to Hills. $34mil.
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FIRST SNOW
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Guy hears fortune teller's prediction. Loses his shit.
WILL IT SUCK?
From two of the five writers of Children of Men. Guy Pearce, J.K. Simmons and William Fichtner are all up in this. Pretty cool lineup, although I feel like after watching the trailer I can already call the twist. Early buzz is good.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Probably the hottest cast of any indie this week. $2mil.
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OFFSIDE
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Women try to sneak into an Iranian soccer match (they're not so much allowed to watch sporting events with men there). Iran, you so crazy!
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is quite good. Tied for the Silver Bear at Berlin and won the Amnesty International Film Award. Didn't know they had one. But they won it.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Has a little bit of advance buzz, but Sony Pictures Classics has got to dial this up. $500,000.
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COLOR ME KUBRICK
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
John Malkovich plays a guy pretending to be Stanley Kubrick. Based on a true story.
WILL IT SUCK?
Early buzz is mixed, but it's interesting to note that both the writer and director were assistants to Kubrick on several films. Malkovich is supposed to be awesome (big shock) and Hustle fave Marc Warren lends a hand.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Nobody knows about this film. $500,000.
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March 30
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MEET THE ROBINSONS
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Dude, the villain is called Bowler Hat Guy. What more do you need to know?
WILL IT SUCK?
The second non-Pixar CG animated Disney flick, although they did get "additional story material" from Monsters, Inc. and Cars contributor Daniel Gerson. The main writer used to scribe Will & Grace, so I'm curious.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Not much competition, but I can see things like TMNT from the week before or Are We Done Yet? from the week after nipping at its heels. $73mil.
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BLADES OF GLORY
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Will Ferrell and Jon Heder as figure skaters.
WILL IT SUCK?
Ferrell has done occer, NASCAR, figure skating and, next, basketball. But you know what? The NASCAR was funny. No guarantees here, as virtually everyone is a newcomer. I find it hard to believe, however, that it took two people to direct this. Supporting cast is great, with Will Arnett, Amy Poehler, Jenna Fischer, William Fichtner, Craig T. Nelson, Andy Richter, Rob Corddry and a host of skating legends from Dorothy Hamill to Brian Boitano.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Are We Done Yet? is a little bit of an issue the following week, but Will Ferrell can take Ice Cube. $80mil.
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SKINWALKERS
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Kind of like Underworld without the vampires. Or 1/12 the budget.
WILL IT SUCK?
From the director of Jason X. Wait. Where are you going?
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
With Grindhouse coming out the following weekend, I'm thinking this will go the way of Blood and Chocolate. $4mil.
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AFTER THE WEDDING
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Guy gets more than he bargained for when he agrees to attend a wedding with a potential business partner.
WILL IT SUCK?
After seeing Mads Mikkelsen in Casino Royale, I'm curious to see if he can do more than bleed out his eye and pummel Daniel Craig in the ball sack. International kudos and a slot alongside the other Best Foreign Film nominees this year indicate the answer to that question is "yes."
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
My guess is most audiences are content with the eye-bleed ball sack thing. $1mil.
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BLIND DATING
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
The 20-Year-Old Blind Virgin
WILL IT SUCK?
This is the kind of movie you wish were directed by the Farrelly brothers. Early buzz is good, though the trailer looks awful.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Indie romantic comedies are hard to pull off without stars. And no, Eddie Kaye Thomas does not count. $500,000.
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LIVE FREE OR DIE
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Bottle Rocket in New Hampshire.
WILL IT SUCK?
I'm just trying to get over the fact that in one year we're going to have a movie called Live Free or Die and a movie called Live Free or Die Hard. Early buzz is mixed with critics trashing it while audiences seem amused and SXSW and Seattle give it awards. Written and directed by two former Seinfeld writers with the likes of Judah Friedlander, Aaron Stanford, Michael Rapaport, Kevin Dunn, Zooey Deschanel and Kim Director in the ensemble.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
Better on DVD. $500,000.
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THE LOOKOUT
WHAT'S THE PITCH?
Caper with Joseph Gordon-Levitt as a mentally handicapped janitor at a bank.
WILL IT SUCK?
After Out of Sight and Minority Report, screenwriter Scott Frank is my boy (we'll ignore Heaven's Prisoners) and here he directs as well. Also a big Levitt fan, and curious to see if Isla Fisher can deliver on the promise of Wedding Crashers. Early buzz is very good.
HOW WELL WILL IT DO?
If it can capitalize on the success of Brick, okay. $2mil.
Next Month: The movie whose ad campaign shut down Boston.